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‘Kamala Harris will become America’s first female president’, politician Alan Lichtman predicts

Alan Lichtman, a distinguished professor at American University, has developed a prediction system known as the ‘Key to the White House’, which has correctly predicted the results of all US presidential elections since 1984. According to the information, Alan Lichtman developed this system in 1981 with the help of Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok and adopted the prediction methods designed by Keilis-Borok to predict earthquakes. According to the information, there are a total of 13 keys in this system.

How does the key to the White House work?

On the other hand, regarding the results of the US presidential election, the political scientist says that if 6 out of 13 keys are against the current White House party, then it is predicted to lose, and if it is less than that, it is predicted to win. In an interview with ANI, Lichtman said that there are only four keys that work against the current Democrats, which means that Donald Trump will not return to the White House.

The White House party (Democrats) loses key number 1, the mandate key, because they lose US House seats in 2022. They lose key number 3, the power key, because the incumbent president is not running. They lose key number 12, the incumbent charisma key, because whatever you may think of Harris, she has only been a candidate for a short time. She has not reached the status of Franklin Roosevelt. And she loses key number 11, the foreign policy failure key, because the Middle East is a disaster, a humanitarian crisis with no good end in sight.

He said, four keys are down, two keys short of what is needed to predict Donald Trump returning to the White House and Harris losing. So the keys predict that we will have a new pathbreaking president, our first female president and the first president of mixed Asian and African descent, which foreshadows where America is headed. We are fast becoming a majority-minority country. Old white men like me are heading for a decline.

Speaking on the factors working in favour of the Democrats, Lichtman said there has been no recession in the election year, the third party campaign has failed and the Republicans have failed to mount any scandal against the Democrats. Well, as I said, they are only losing four. That means they are winning nine majors. Contest majors, because the Democrats have united around Harris. Third party majors, because RFK Jr.’s campaign has failed. Short-term economic majors, because there is no recession in the election year. Long-term economic majors, because real per capita growth under Biden’s tenure is much higher than the average of the previous two terms. Republicans have been trying to accuse Biden of scandal for four years but they have come up empty-handed.

When asked if there could be different winners between Democrats and Republicans in terms of the Electoral College and popular votes, Lichtman said he did not make any predictions on that aspect.