According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD): (Sunday 23 May 2021 Time of Issue: 1630 hours IST Based on 1430 hours IST Observations)
The northern limit of Southwest Monsoon continues to pass through 5°N/80°E, 10°N/85°E, 13°N/90°E
The Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Eastcentral Bay of Bengal concentrated into a Depression over eastcentral Bay of Bengal and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 23rd May, 2021 near latitude 16.1°N and longitude 90.2°E, about 560 km northnorthwest of Port Blair (Andaman Islands), 590 km eastsoutheast of Paradip (Odisha), 690 km southsoutheast of Balasore (Odisha) and 670 km southsoutheast of Digha (West Bengal). It is very likely to move northnorthwestwards and intensify into a Cyclonic Storm by 24th May morning and further into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm during the subsequent 24 hours. It would continue to move northnorthwestwards, intensify further and reach Northwest Bay of Bengal near West Bengal and north Odisha coasts by 26th May morning. It is very likely to cross north Odisha West Bengal between Paradip and Sagar islands by evening of 26th May as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm.
The Western Disturbance as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir between 3.1km & 3.6 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 68°E
to the north of latitude 25°N persists.
- The cyclonic circulation over Northern parts of Central Madhya Pradesh at 0.9 km above mean sea level persists.
- The cyclonic circulation over Southwest Rajasthan at 0.9 km above mean sea level persists.
- The cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea and adjoining Maharashtra coast between 3.1km & 3.6
km above mean sea level persists.
- A fresh Western Disturbance is likely to affect Western Himalayan Region from the night of 26th May, 2021.